Grain export: state, problems and prospects
Abstract
Currently, Ukraine is one of the world leaders in agricultural export. Due to its favorable climate and geographical location, unique natural resources and large areas of fertile arable land, Ukraine is well positioned to become a world leader in agricultural production.
The purpose of this article is to analyze the situation on the grain market, determine trends, the capacity of the grain market and export potential of Ukraine.
The methods used in the present studies include the method of analysis for the assessment of the grain market, the method of comparison for the analysis of the export potential of the world grain market, the method of logical generalization in summarizing the results of this study.
The article reviews the export potential of the grain market in Ukraine and the world. Analyzing the data, we came to the following conclusions. Ukraine accounts for 7.5 percent of total global wheat exports, which puts it in the sixth place in the world. Positive growth trends in the export percentage by 15.5% in comparison with 2018 indicate that Ukraine is gradually entering the top three world grain exporters.
Consideration of export potential in the context of selected crops shows that since 2015, there has been a tendency to increase the growth rates for wheat by 11.9 percent, for corn by 80.7 percent, for barley by 9.1 percent.
The article concludes that, while maintaining a high rate of increase in agricultural output, the agro-industrial sector has significant additional untapped potential to increase the exports of value-added products. Its further development (provided the sustainable food security of the state) is capable not only to consolidate Ukraine's status as a reliable supplier of high-quality affordable food products to the world market, but also to become a powerful engine for economic development and increase of the population welfare, contribute to the sustainable development of agriculture, while realizing a powerful production and export potential.
References
2. Boyko VI (2004) Toward a problem of grain market formation. APK economy. No. 3. P. 35-38.
3. Bodnar OV (2010) Formation of price tendencies in the grain market of Ukraine. Science. hanging Nat. untu biores. and nature. Of Ukraine. Issue 154.1. Available at: http://www.nbuv.gov.ua. (Accessed 10/01/2019).
4. Dels SV (2016) Transportation Approaches to Evaluating the Effectiveness of Export Grain Delivery Schemes. Lo-gistics. No. 11. C. 44.
5. Kirilov Yu.E. (2005) Ukraine's Prospects in the Global Grain Market. APK economy. №8. Pp. 135-139.
6. Kutsenko IV (2016) Development of grain procurement and marketing infrastructure of integrated agrarian units. Scientific Bulletin of the International Humanities University. No. 2. P. 155-158.
7. Melnyk TM (2008) Export potential of Ukraine: evaluation methodology and analysis. Available at: http://iepjournal.com/journals/8-9/2008_10_Melnuk1.pdf. (Accessed 10/01/2019).
8. Rodionova MR (2014) Improving the grain market infrastructure. Visn. NAIL. K .: NAIL. No. 8, pp. 15-19.
9. Sabluk RP, Kovalenko OV (2009) Current Trends in Global Grain Trade. APK economy.No. 9. S. 84-88.
10. In 2018, Ukraine has set a record for agricultural exports. (2019). Available at: https://www.unian.ua/economics/agro/10416159-ukraina-v-2018-roci-vstanovila-rekord-z-eksportu-silgospprodukcije.html. (Accessed 10/01/2019).
11. Ukraine is increasing its exports of agricultural food products. (2019) Available at: http://ucab.ua/ua/pres_sluzhba/novosti/ukraina_naroschue_eksport_agroprodovolchoi_produktsii. (Accessed 10/01/2019).
12. Leading corn-exporting countries worldwide 2018/19. (2019) Available at: https://www.statista.com/statistics/254299/top-global-corn-exporters. (Accessed 10/01/2019).
13. Agri-food exports to the EU, Asia and Africa are increasing in Ukraine (2019) http://agro-yug.com.ua/archives/30068. (Ac-cessed 10/01/2019).
14. Formation of Ukraine's export potential for 2019-2020 MR: four agrocrocks. (2019) Available at: https://landlord.ua/news/formuvannia-eksportnoho-potentsialu-ukrainy-na-2019-2020-mr-chotyry-ahrokrokyyu. (Accessed 10/01/2019).
15. Since the beginning of 2019/20, Ukraine has exported 18 million tonnes of grain and flour. (2019) Available at: https://minagro.gov.ua/en/news/z-pochatku-201920-mr-ukrayina-exportuvala-18-mln-tonn-zerna-ta-boroshna. (Accessed 10/01/2019).
16. Rud I. (2019) Harvest-2019: main features and preliminary results. Available at: http://nbuviap.gov.ua/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=4462:urozhaj-2019-personality-tsogorichnikh-zhniv&catid=8&Itemid=350. (Accessed 10/01/2019).
17. Ukraine Barley Exports by Year (2019). Available at: https://www.indexmundi.com/agriculture/?country=en&commodity=barley&graph=exports. (Accessed 10/01/2019).
18. Ukraine is emerging as the world's next agricultural superpower (2019). Available at: http://bunews.com.ua/economy/item/ukraine-feeds-the-world. (Accessed 10/01/2019).
19. Ukraine has adopted an agricultural strategy until 2026. (2019) Available at: https://edumka.com/2019/07/13/v-ukrayini-uhvalyly-agrarnu-strategiyu-do-2026-roku. (Accessed 10/01/2019).
20. On approval of the Strategy for development of export of agricultural products, food and processing industry of Ukraine for the period until 2026. Ordinance of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine dated July 10, 2019 No. 588-р. Available at: https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/588-2019-%D1%80 . (Accessed 01/10/2019).
